Sunday, February 13, 2011

AAN: My predictions for the BAFTAs


The BAFTAs are coming up (not entirely sure exactly when, all I know is that they won't be streamed live here), and since there is a bloody good lot of nominations and this is the last big mainstream award show before the Oscars, I shall see which of these cool nominations will take away the funny looking golden mask. Of course, I will be using my awardsy raters, Leo, Zuck and Steve.

Key:
Leo=Who I most want to win. Generally doesn't mean they will win, though.
Zuck=Who will probably win.
Steve=Who has the least chance of winning.

BEST FILM:
I'm still an Inception fan, through and through, but it practically has no chance of winning. I'm predicting that The King's Speech will take the cake over The Social Network since this is a British awards show, though TSN still has a good chance because a) it won the top prize at the London Critics Circle awards and b) The King's Speech will probably win Best British Film, leaving The Social Network to win this one. But there is more chance that they will unfortunately go with The King's Speech, bettering it's chances to win Best Picture. True Grit is a wildhorse of sorts in the category, but even though Black Swan is amazing, it has the least amount of chance to win here.

ALEXANDER KORDA AWARD FOR OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM OF THE YEAR
The King's Speech will definitely come away with this one. Even if 127 Hours is better (that's a British film? It seemed completely American to me).

BEST ACTOR
This category is exactly the same as the Oscars one. I know Colin Firth deserves it, and he definitely will get it, and I'll love him to death for it, I'm still a Jesse Eisenberg fan. And a James Franco fan, for that matter. Thanks to not being nominated everywhere over the course of the awards season, Jeff Bridges doesn't stand a chance, nor does dark horse Javier Bardem.

BEST ACTRESS
Natalie Portman should be given her Oscar already. Is there any competition for her? It's nice to see that Annette Bening and Julianne Moore have been nominated for The Kids Are All Right, along with the brilliant Noomi Rapace for The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo. While Hailee Steinfeld arguably belongs in this category, the fact that she is Oscar nominated for Best Supporting Actress kinda takes the shine off her campaign here.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
It would be quite cool is the BAFTAs decided to go with Andrew Garfield, since those Brits really like him. But then again, Christian Bale is a Brit too, and they'll make like sheep and go with him. Geoffrey Rush is there, plus a surprise nomination for the late Pete Postlethwaite in The Town. Mark Ruffalo, like he is in the same category for the Oscars, is the dark horse.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
With no Melissa Leo in here, this is a very interesting race, and could seriously shake up the Oscars. I'm glad Barbara Hershey got a nomination for her creepy turn in Black Swan, and she has every chance of winning. The Fighter's other actress, Amy Adams, should get the award, and I'd be damn happy if she did. But there is a possibility that they will go with their Brit fave Helena Bonham Carter, or even Lesley Manville. Even Miranda Richardson has a chance. So much uncertainty!

DAVID LEAN AWARD FOR ACHIEVEMENT IN DIRECTION
This should have been the category they used for the Oscars. Darren Aronofsky, Danny Boyle, David Fincher, Tom Hooper and Christopher Nolan. While Tom Hooper is likely to get the award, even though his direction isn't amazing, I can still see them going for Nolan out of pity or actually seeing the light. Danny Boyle's direction in 127 Hours is frickin amazing, but I can't see him taking the award.

ORANGE RISING STAR AWARD
As seen in last weeks post, this is a very hard category to pick out a winner. My vote goes with either Emma Stone or Andrew Garfield, though I'd be happy to see any of them win. Andrew Garfield, however, definitely has the best chance. Tom Hardy and Gemma Arterton are both great stars on the rise, but I feel as if Aaron Johnson simply hasn't done enough, so he is the outsider just by a bit.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Despicable Me takes The Illusionist's place in this category, but we all know that Toy Story 3 will win. Even if How to Train Your Dragon is awesome.

The rest of the categories after the jump.


BEST SCREENPLAY (ORIGINAL)
Even though I still have absolutely know idea how The King's Speech's screenplay is classified as 'original', it will rob Chris Nolan of his award for his completely original screenplay to Inception. But there is still a good chance that Nolan could take the award.

BEST SCREENPLAY (ADAPTED)
I'd like to see someone try and beat Aaron Sorkin. *silence* That's what I thought.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Finally, an award which Inception is likely to win and The King's Speech is likely to lose. I could be wrong, but Wally Pfister deserves it, no?

BEST EDITING
I really want Inception to win this one because not only does it deserve it, but it was wrongfully snubbed at the Oscars. My backup choice is definitely Black Swan, with the 100 shots it carefully puts together just to make one scene.

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Another technical-type award that should rightfully go to Inception. Alice in Wonderland is just too CGI to even think of winning.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
I would love for Black Swan to win this one, as the costume progresses with the characters and the ballet outfits are wonderful. But alas, it's absence from the Oscars could hurt it. The King's Speech has some wonderful costumes too, and I wouldn't mind seeing it win this one.

ANTHONY ASQUITH AWARD FOR FILM MUSIC
Without The Social Network's score being in contention, the prize should really go to Inception, but I'm sure they'll go with Alexandre Desplat and his sweet score to The King's Speech. 127 Hours' score is pretty cool too, along with the Oscar nominated one for How to Train Your Dragon. It would be hard to see Alice in Wonderland's score winning, though.

BEST MAKEUP/HAIR
It would be nice to see HP7 get something, would it not?

BEST SOUND
Inception had the best sound of the year, hands down.

BEST ACHIEVEMENT IN SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS
Ummmm, what's Toy Story 3 doing in here? I wouldn't really count animation as 'special visual effects'.

BEST FILM NOT IN THE ENGLISH LANGUAGE
The Secret in Their Eyes won the Oscar for this category last year, so there is a high chance that it will win this, or Biutiful, being one of the most well known, could win. Anything but I Am Love would be fantastic.

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